Hat Tip: BB
By: Trevor Loudon
From Defense News:
The United States has underestimated the growth of China’s military as policymakers have taken public statements at face value or failed to understand Beijing’s thinking, a study said April 5.
The report prepared for the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission said the U.S. had a mixed record on predicting the rising power’s new weaponry, including largely missing the emergence of more advanced submarines.
As for the speed of military modernization, the study found “identifiable cases of miscalculation” with China developing anti-ship ballistic missiles and stealth fighter jets earlier than the U.S. expected.
U.S. analysis could have improved if more experts read Chinese or even looked at open publications such as academic technical journals, it said.
“U.S. observers should not take at face value statements from the Chinese government on military policy, as they could either be deceptive, or simply issued by agencies” such as the foreign ministry “that have no real say over military matters,” it said.
The staff report was prepared for the commission, which was set up by Congress in 2000 to assess security implications from China and does not represent the views of any U.S. government branch.
The study said that U.S. experts “may have failed to fully appreciate the extent to which the Chinese leadership views the United States as a fundamental threat to China’s security.”
It said that China’s views were “inflamed” by incidents including the 1999 bombing of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade that the United States said was accidental and the U.S. show of naval force near Taiwan in 1996 after Beijing’s missile tests.
The study said that U.S. experts assumed in the late 1990s that China would never catch up militarily to the U.S. and would put a low priority on its defense industry compared with other parts of the economy.
“A decade on, it is now clear that much of the conventional wisdom about China dating from the turn of the century has proven to be dramatically wrong,” it said.
“To avoid being similarly caught off-guard in 2022, U.S. analysts should carefully re-examine many of their widely held assumptions about the Chinese government and its policy goals,” it said.
And why is anyone confident that the US has until 2022 to correct these mistakes?
By: Trevor Loudon
Invoking the name of leftist icon Martin Luther King, Jr., far left controlled transit unions and the Marxist dominated Occupy Movement have joined forces in a campaign to boost funding for mass public transit and to increase “class” antagonisms.
The resurgent Occupy Movement, is increasingly a tool of the hard left and their labor movement allies.
The Occupy Wall Street movement and the Amalgamated Transit Union have jointly declared April 4 a National Day of Action for Jobs and Mass Transit and are staging demonstrations that day in 20 cities across the country.
They said their joint mobilization is in keeping with Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.’s campaigns for good paying jobs and for accessibility of those jobs to the poor. The action comes as unions and civil rights organizations in general turn more of their attention to creation of jobs that can be accessed by people in communities hardest hit by the economic crash – communities of color and areas in the nation’s inner cities.
The ATU and Occupy Wall Street plan their joint demonstrations in 20 cities, including Chicago, New York and Pittsburgh.
The joint Occupy-labor operation and the linking of it to a 1967 speech by Dr. King, in which he denounced the Vietnam War and said resources spent there should be put into the fight against poverty, was first proposed by leaders of the Occupy Boston movement.
ATU President Larry Hanley said his union went for the idea with a great deal of enthusiasm. Hanley said the April 4 Day of Action “is intended to draw a straight line between Dr. King’s speech then and conditions afflicting the poor and middle class today. We’re going to focus on the impact of mass transit budget and service cuts on the poor and working Americans…”
The union hopes, he said, to use the April 4 events to reach out far beyond the ranks of union members. And even beyond the ranks of workers. “We want to reach everyone who rides on mass transit,” Hanley said, “and get the attention of the politicians who can reverse these cuts. The riders also happen to be the voters.”
In the announcement of the April 4 Day of Action Hanley said, “Dr. King called urban transportation a true genuine civil right” and “that still rings true today as our nation faces a public transportation crisis.”
Hanley and other labor leaders feel there is much that people still need to understand about the mass transit crisis.
People do understand that the eroding tax base forces transit agencies to slash services and raise fares. Fewer understand, however, that major financial institutions, the banks first and foremost, have been able to use the dilemma faced by the cities to rake in huge profits.
Hanley notes that even after making the cuts and raising the fares transit agencies, to keep buses and subways rolling, borrow millions of dollars from the banks, the people Occupy Wall Street describes as the “1 percent.” The banks then have turned destruction of mass transit into a profitable business for themselves.
“Their greed and corruption destroyed our economy and the middle class,” said Hanley and “now they’re undermining the transit systems it took a hundred years to build.”
Occupy Chicago and the transit union are urging riders not to let their commute get “thrown under the bus” and will demonstrate at Chicago Transit Authority Headquarters at 567 W. Lake St. at 6 p.m.
In Seattle, the Occupy movement, together with the Seattle Transit Riders Union and other groups begin action at 11 a.m. near Safeco Stadium. Plans are to occupy buses and trains and travel to a downtown rally.