Analysis of Rasmussen Polls Drain Fuel Tank on Obama Reelection Machine

By: Jeffrey Klein
Examiner.com

Polls, polls and more polls–we are surrounded by poll results on all things political, but particularly at the national level, with President Obama’s job approval ratings and match up against all manner of Republican contenders measured every single day.

What amazes people, with rare exception, is that somehow the mainstream media polls nearly always show Obama edging out all Republican comers–even though the published facts that are the measure of his performance are devastatingly negative.

For example, Rasmussen Reports, arguably the most accurate polling company in America, because they have regularly picked the winner and margin of the presidential races, has a plethora of Obama-negative poll results on all of the important peripheral issues that would logically contradict such an outcome.

The first such poll, which asked 1,000 adults about the likelihood of the U.S. defaulting on the national debt within five years, 42% of adults polled sincerely believe we will.

Even though 48% do not share this same view–the more important point is that up until the middle of 2011, the answer would historically have been NONE.

However, it was just six months ago that Standard and Poors downgraded U.S. debt for the first time in American history–primarily due to Democrats unwillingness to tackle the greatest component of our annual trillion dollar deficits–unsustainable entitlement programs–when Republicans rightly demanded budget cuts in order to raise the national debt ceiling.

A second poll revealed that when asked about the repeal of Obamacare, 53% of likely U.S. voters at least somewhat favor repeal of the health care law, including 42% who strongly favor it.

Third, when asked recently about the most important issue that will determine how they will vote in the November 2012 elections–82% of Likely U.S. Voters saw the economy as a Very Important.

The fourth poll, for the week ending on February 26, 2012, a national telephone survey of 3,500 likely voters found that in a generic Congressional match-up, 43% of them would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race, if the election were held today–while only 39% would choose the Democrat instead.

In fact, a review of the 119 week history of this weekly poll, since December 27, 2009, shows that likely voters have, with only two exceptions, always chosen Republicans over Democrats.

As to likely voters’ opinion of President Obama’s performance, Rasmussen Reports has two graphs, which represent at least weekly polling frequency.

The “Presidential Approval Index,” which since January 21, 2009 has seen the Strongly Disapprove scores skyrocket and remain between 35% and 45% since, and Strongly Approve scores plummet from 45% to 25% in the first year–then fluctuate between 20% and 25% since then.

The second graph, “Presidential Job Approval,” has also plummeted since the beginning, and has fluctuating between 43% and 48% ever since the end of 2009.

A late February poll of 1,000 adults showed that 50% of them believed that government efforts to manage the economy do more harm than good–with just 27% of them believe government management actually helps the economy.

As an extension of this concept, another Rasmussen poll from mid-January found that 70% of American adults think a free market economy is better, whereas only 15% feel that a government managed economy is better.

Still, even Rasmussen polling, as recent as March 1-2, shows that in a heads up with Obama at 44%, Republican frontrunner Mitt Romney had just a slight edge against him, with 45%–a virtual “dead heat,” as it is within the margin of error.

What does it all mean?

Once the Republican nominee is finally identified, everyone will rally behind him, including the majority of disaffected Independents, because we are all terrified of the failed “Big Government” vision of Barack Obama–the worst, most liberal, Democrat president in history.

Copyright (c) 2012 by Jeffrey Klein

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